Showing posts with label Resource Rent Tax. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Resource Rent Tax. Show all posts

Tuesday, December 7, 2010

Double taxation and WA miners wealth

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Who would have thought that the bosses of Rio Tinto and BHP could be so innocent. When they signed off on an agreement with the Rudd Labor government, they didn't expect that they would attempt to water down the terms of the agreement. Reading this latest news story by SMH, you could be forgiven for thinking they got what they deserved; but the problem is their decision impacted all miners, resulted in a Labor government, they undermined their own credibility, and they lead shareholders on a rollercoaster ride....admittedly with the help of the government.
Of course the issue is very similar to the issue between international governments, where you have double taxation agreements. It is more difficult in the case of state and federal interests because each wants taxing and fiscal powers, and each control the same jurisdiction....in different areas of course. Was it not the states which control mineral taxes? It was until labor developed the resource rent tax.
Governments competing to raise taxes? Its like a competition between a skunk and a raccoon. Isn't it time we had a new system of government - a meritocracy based on objectivity.

Thursday, October 21, 2010

Labor making policy on the road

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What can you expect from trailer trash. The Gillard government has been caught out making policy on the 'campaign road'. According to the latest news from SMH, Gillard's people did not adequately understand the policy which they had committed themselves to in the wake of the election. This has culminated in another huge glitch by this government. Might we see the Independents abondon these sorry group of MPs? Full story here. The result is a conflict between the state and federal government over the sharing of mineral royalties. There will now be a competition to find out who can extort more. Back in the old days, competition was synonymous with freedom. i.e. Choice. But in this case, miners don't even get to choose the government who will lynch them...nor shareholders for that matter.

Thursday, October 7, 2010

Resource Tax - non disclosure a sign of more to come

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Look how particular or specific government taxation has become in the advent of the resource tax debacle. The public is not allowed to know how much tax companies are making, as its to be concealed 'in the interests of commercial confidentiality'. Such talk is really a signal to how political discourse based on some moral standard has given away to specific 'shady deals' with strategic asset holders. It 'wreaks of fascism'. What happened to the notion of a general principle of tax? Its gone. We know have specific takes levied upon specific projects....based on your capacity to pay. Stuff shareholders who are suddenly stung by this arbitrary 'bee'.
The Resource Rent Tax is a sign of where government is trending. What a pity we are a role model for New Zealand public policy. What we are witnessing is the intellectual or cognitive debasement of the wider community. Was there ever a time when they would have accepted such policies? It had to be justified. But moral ambivalence always has justified and clouded all bad decisions made by governments. Usually its a national emergency like the reconstruction of Europe....in this case its just an economy buried in arbitrary statutory law which bets some vested interest group against another....where the table is always tilted towards the dealer...that's the government.

Monday, September 6, 2010

Is China really a threat to Australia?

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Maybe the problem with the administration of George Bush was not simply his poor policy judgement, but his choice of friends, and ‘advisers’. According to the SMH Online, Philippa Malmgren, an adviser to George Bush as well as Deutsche Bank, is suggesting that Australia should lock China out of owning Australian resource assets. The problem with this policy is:
1. Imperialistic fear peddling at its worst, i.e. The old ‘them & us’ talk of China taking over the world.
2. Poor role model. Are we not trying to encourage China to end its collectivist history of socialism, by adopting capitalism, i.e. free markets. This counter positioning of fascist imperialism is not the antidote. Intellectual integrity is.
3. Poor empirical evidence for his views. If we look at Japan, Australia was not taken over by Japan. China is 10x bigger, so it will have 10x the impact Japan did, if not more
4. How do we make China more threatening by making it depend on us less
5. Plenty of competition – if we make access to Australia difficult for China, they will go elsewhere
6. Respecting the role of China – If we respect the role of China as a processor of raw materials, we stand a better chance of being respected as a ‘reliable supplier; of minerals....it might then not look elsewhere for minerals
7. The Australian government retains the right to arbitrarily tax all production from Australia. A power it should not exercise.
8. Why would it make good policy to impose a specific tax or ‘control’ upon the Chinese. Does that not descend to the worst levels of political diplomacy.
9. China buying up a lot of resources can only be good for Australia. We will only benefit from the mass liquidation of wealth, which we can free up for other purposes.
10. Why should we fear China buying into Australian mines. It could only raise gross export revenues for Australia. Australians would be better educated to appreciate the value of iron ore and other mineral assets, so these assets are fully valued when sold to the Chinese.
We don’t need to resort to extortion in order to produce wealth...we need only do what we do best, and allow the Chinese to do the same. Capitalism is based on the principle of trading value for value for mutual benefit.
The greater issue for Australia is how we will squander the wealth that we derive from China's participation in our economy. We have to fear the prospect of 'easy money' resulting in excessive welfarism as well as decadence. The pertinent precedence in this instance is Norway.
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Author
Andrew Sheldon

Wednesday, August 18, 2010

Impact of the Australian resource rent tax

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Some mining CEOs commenting on the Resource Rent Tax

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Author
Andrew Sheldon

Resource Rent Tax Australia

Applied Critical Thinking | www.SheldonThinks.com

Thursday, August 5, 2010

Labor makes false claims about resource rent tax

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Some actual mistakes here:
1. Public information package: That must be a euphemism for propaganda. The government is justified in spending $38 million on TV advertising. That is $2 per person. Why doesn't the government spend half as much sending out detailed material along with the mining industry. Would that not be a fair way to go. Reason as the standard of value, and save tax payers $17 million. Australia Post could even make a profit.
2. The Australian people own mineral resources so they are entitled to a share of the profit from those resources. They already get a 'risk-free' share from those resources through income tax, mineral royalties, state taxes, infrastructure, social spending,
In addition, these resources have 'in effect' been sub-leased to the mining industry. i.e. The government is bringing into question the viability and undermining the wealth of Australians by taking a 'second take' at an opportune time, when prices are high. Those prices will not always be high. It is not as simple as Australians owning these resources.
3. Labour suggests that the mining industries advertising is unfair, and yet it is using taxpayers money to achieve the same. They have previously attacked such use of taxpayers funds.


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Author
Andrew Sheldon

Friday, July 30, 2010

Misconceptions about the resource rent tax

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Quote from Royd Bogan:
"The fairness thing eludes me. A tax is a tax, it's not an issue of morality. The rate of the tax is an economic and political matter, using "fairness" on either side simply distorts the discussion".
Oh, a pragmatist. Well you know we are close to fascism when the popular consensus is that 'morality is not an issue', that a 'tax is a tax'. Great logic. Bogan has descended to the cognitive level of a common house pet. Oh, hang on, he is talking economics. Hell, he has gone off the monitor..warning! Warning! Back to pragmatism. Well, you know economics actually acknowledges moral issues. i.e. It is based on the concept of 'rational man'. It assumes in fact that we are all rational. Which means...if you introduce some psychology, we like to be appreciated or validated for good, not punished for it with high taxes, or worse resented/hated. Hating millionaires might become popular next. Vulgar materialism anyone? It also means we like to avoid sovereign risks, so with little property rights in Australia, we might be better off investing in Ethiopia, where they have greater respect for wealth creation because they have none. The next thing is industry moves offshore, Australia is no longer a centre of mining industry, so we all live in South Africa or Brunei instead. Brain drain 20 years off. Is that enough economics for you; even tossed in some psychology and tourism for dessert.

Quoted from Adultmale
"I forgot to say that the mining companies already pay the same tax as all other companies (as well as royalties). You have to ask yourself why Kev and Julia aren't putting a 'super profits' tax on banks. They post obscene profits every year while they are actively reducing their work force and closing branches". Source: Political Forum.com
The reason is simply that the banks and media always support the government, and the govt always support them. The banks and media are bipartisan supporters of govt, and the feeling is mutual. Look at how the govt obstructed the IMF, which is suing the banks to get them to repay their unfair fees. How long did it take the govt to reduce interest rates on credit cards.
Apart from these vested interest groups, there are also partisan groups like the unions (Labor) and business (Liberals). The banks and media are the 'untouchables'. Google is also untouchable for strategic reasons....it only pays 0.5% tax on its Australian income. Lucky guys!

Quote from Royd Bogan:
"As for the economic benefit of mining, yes it's there but it's sad to have to acknowledge that we don't have the wherewithal to actually produce something from the minerals we dig up and export. That's the bloody annoying part, the cargo cult mentality of the Howard government has apparently been continued by Labor. If we actually used the stuff ourselves we'd have a stronger economy, but it's easier to dig it up and sell it to China then buy back the goods. Some things never change". Source: Political Forum.com.
More commentary by people who don't understand commerce or economics. The reason why we don't process iron ore is because we cannot compete with China. Now, if you think about it, the reason is that we have minimum wages in part (because of Socialist Labor), geopolitical and geographic issues, and also because we can get greater productivity from placing our labour elsewhere. i.e. IT sector.
The reason we don't use iron ore is because we consume very little. Few countries can compete with China on processing costs. That will be true for another 2 decades, then Vietnam and India will be cheapest, then probably Africa I guess. Iron ore needs deep water ports.
We used a great deal of coal....but I guess many of you are not too happy about that. I love the mentality though...love what you do for the country...but do you mind if we screw the industry and investors. Why would you want to invest in mines or downstream industry if you as an investor are treated this way. Have some empathy or proclaim your parasitic souls.

Quote from Royd Bogan
"The miners can stop work on a site if the price of metals beomes unprofitable. They sack the workforce, install a maintenance and security workforce at lesser cost and mothball everything until the price goes up". Source: Political Forum.com
You mean investors should take a loss (as opposed to making a profit) in order to support those parasites whom think the world owes them a living.
Let me understand this, you want the cash, but not to support stable jobs? Clearly you are advocating shutting mines. So I guess you are just a cynical leach, as opposed to an idealistic one.
Rest assured there will be millions of you trying to grab a buck from the miners. Rest assured exploration spending will evaporate in new projects. It will continue in developmental projects for 6-10 years, but that will be the end of the mining industry. Maybe the Chinese will not even fund developments, opting for safer West African countries like 'Angola' instead. Hard to believe we could 'out' Angola in the sovereign risk stakes, but clearly that is what the standards of parliamentary conduct have descended to....and I don't like the Liberals either. I suggest not voting or voting for a minority like the Liberal Democratic Party. They don't have much on policy or principles, but I think that's because they have no money. Mind you, when they do, they will probably become liberals. Ok, so I'm all you've got, and I'm not running or even voting...so there you go. Go buy a house or drown your repressed memories of this conversation.
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Author
Andrew Sheldon

Wednesday, July 28, 2010

Market risk of Resource Rent Tax

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The coal market consultants Wood Mackenzie have come out in defense of the mining industry over the resource rent tax. From the outset one must consider that Wood Mackenzie is a consultant to government and the mining industry, though most of their business is with the private sector, so some bias is possible. But I actually agree with them for reasons I will add. Appreciate that coal and iron ore are low value, high volume businesses requiring a great deal of investment (i.e. capital intensive).

As a prior coal analyst with Barlow Jonker (which was years later taken over by Wood Mackenzie), I can say there is a tendency for people to reflect only on the short term market for commodities. The reality is that commodity prices went very high in the 2000s, but we must remember they went so high because of the under-investment in the 1980s-90s. Higher prices have sparked a rash of new, small projects, so its possible that prices could stay low. This government intervention strikes me as a govt-orchestrated attempt to curtail the development of new capacity in order to keep prices high. Good for Australia it could be argued, but at whose expense? Certainly to the benefit of Fortescue, BHP and Rio Tinto.

In the long term the market could go either way. Coal and iron ore are common commodities. We must also remember that China has a great deal of it as well. We must also acknowledge that the global seaborne coal and iron ore supply curve tends to get flatter as the market expands. That makes competitition very intense. We can also expect that the last commodities boom will result in a lot of new players, who will keep prices down.

I recall studying the Carbocol SA Cerrejon de Norte coal mine in Colombia when I was an analyst. At the time, everyone thought that coal prices were going to $100/tonne in the 1980s. Instead they went closer to $25/tonne, and resulted in mines going broke. Carbocol was nationalised by the Colombian govt, much like the Australian govt plans to expropriate the profits from Australian miners. The legacy was that Colombia lost investment credibility, and the mine was loss-making for a decade. It never recovered its capital. The same risk exists if the Australian govt takes on a commercial risk in order to profit from mining. It might even become a mining industry rort like the tax credits for the wine and timber industry. Of course a strong China and India augers well for prices, though who knows what could happen in the next 10 years. Do we want the government accepting that commercial risk? Its your money, their lack of accountability.

The very idea of government basing its budgetary spending on voltatile commodity prices is grounds for concern, though in fairness, we tend to see commodity prices offset by a weaker $A....so on that basis the government is pretty safe, so commodity price changes will be ameliorated by balancing exchange rate movements; particularly as high household debts will pin interest rates at a low level.

It is clearly suspicious that the Gillard government is unwilling to disclose its commodity price-forex assumptions underpinning the claim that the tax will pull in $10.5 billion in its first two years.

According to the SMH, the head of coal supply research at Wood Mackenzie, Gero Farruggio, said that as the MRRT was a profit-based tax, government revenue would become more sensitive to price fluctuations. ''A return to the low prices of just a few years ago will see no additional government revenue flowing from MRRT, with some companies benefiting from a reduction in the corporate tax rate from 30 per cent to 29 per cent,'' he said.

Really though he is ignoring the exchange rate impact, and I suspect the exchange rate will offset it. Pragmatic arguments like these ought not however be the basis for moral-political decisions. Otherwise lets just kill all politicians and retarded kids, and we will add $2000 per capita to GDP in the first year and heaps more when we finally eradicate the oppressive arbitrary laws of political middlemen who create no value.

Gero Farruggio also said ''Indonesia dominates the ranking tables, with the largest thermal coal production and lowest average cash cost - in contrast to Australia. It has moved to reduce the level of government take from coal production".
We must remember however that Indonesian export coal will principally find local markets in future, so that is a domestic cost. Export sales could be expected to become less significant, and maybe for the government, security of supply considerations might justify a higher tax. Not legitimately, but that is what governments do....justify expropriation. Stuff those who are impacted.
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Author
Andrew Sheldon

Foreign criticism of Australian tax policy

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It is interesting how elections draw out all types of personal commentaries. Consider the latest criticism from Nobel Prize-winning US economist Joseph Stiglitz - which strikes me as self-defeating. He is critical of the "mining industry having too much influence on the political debate on Australia's mining tax". Why then should he seek any influence at all, and why did he take any position at all when he is not an Australian citizen, and clearly does not understand mining. I always knew how the Nobel Prize went to the undeserved...this is a case in point. Lack of critical insight being his problem.

He makes a comparison between the mining industry and regulation of the financial industry. Firstly, if one is having wealth expropriated from you, who else has a legitimate interest in the outcome other than the victim. The mining industry lives according to the rules. Is it fair and reasonable than shareholders and miners loose out because the government decides to change the rules in the middle of the game? Shareholders invested in mining projects based on a certain tax regime. The government has decided near the top of the boom to steal the upside in the stock price, which can only impose losses on shareholders in a specific sector of the economy. Its not even broad-based. It is grossly discriminatory.
He adopts the idea that 'resources were public' property. True enough, some years ago, the government adopted another arbitrary law saying all resources are govt owned. It then entered into mining title on certain terms, and now it wants to arbitrarily change them AGAIN. If it wants to do that it ought to do it to any new title applied after the law is enacted, not 'effectively' retrospectively applying to existing mining title.
There is a big difference also between public ownership of resources and public ownership of 'mineable reserves'. These companies have spent a lot of money proving up these resources, and the government wants to come in and take the 'value-add'. Rest assured if they thought mineral prices would collapse for the next 3 decades, they would drop the tax proposition because it was always about the money. It is utterly self-serving, unprincipled and unjust.
How can you compare that with regulation of the mining industry. Regulation ought to be about protecting citizens. This resource rent tax is utter and blatant extortion and expropriation. The fact that it is supported by a former 'paid' bureaucrat ('grim reeper') in the World Bank, is reason for questioning his ethical pretext.

He also said that "to date the windfall gain from the rise in iron ore had gone disproportionately to the companies, while a disproportionately small fraction had gone to Australian citizens".
The reality is that Australians have the opportunity to benefit from the mining industry if they so desire....they ought to invest, not support expropriation. I might add the people who made the 'windfall' are not necessarily the existing shareholders. Shareholders chage. In any respect, any wealth was 'made' by these companies and shareholders in accordance with the law. The law is to protect, not to sanction abuse.

His next argument is that: ''The natural resources belong to the people".
That's right, under some prior imposition government forcibly assumed ownership to all mineral resources. It has since sub-leased those lands to the mining industry, and the industry has acted in good faith with those laws, which were adopted by the government. Those resources are now 'mineral reserves', upgraded by the definition of valuable metal through drilling, geological and geophysical surveys. They are a value proposition, and these people saw the value, and the government wants to take it away, even though it defined the rules. If anything it is a testimony to the fact that governments can't see 'value', so why ought they be controlling it? They cab only result in the Australian people losing value. Expect all future exploration to go abroad. The trend was already there as it becomes much more difficult and expensive to find minerals (other than iron ore and coal) in Australia.
Its possible the govt is exposing taxpayers to huge market risk. Who knows. It also raises the spectre of corruption. Rudd/Gillard could have done a backyard deal with Rio Tinto and BHP to get their deal. That is why arbitrary law like this is wrong. It is a recipe for corruption. BHP in recent years has already been caught engaging in corruption...despite it supporting an ethics committee. Might these executives have a Swiss bank account since they met personally with the PM and ministers. Let's have some laws based on defensible principles.
Why does the Australian people have to benefit. They didn't create any value. Let them make their own wealth and not impose on others thrift or initiative.
I accept the argument that there could be a better system for auctioning exploration title, but actually that might only result in the government getting less, and market traders getting more, as it would only attract more speculators. Its not an issue of competition. Competition suggests more players, buyers and sellers, and that can only result in higher prices for title, as it will result in broader recognition of value. That is why Australia is cheaper than overseas markets, because we are a smaller market. But regardless, the benefit will go to speculators, not the government.
The reason why the govt needs to impose on others is because they are not able to efficiently run the economy. Despite miners producing a lot of value, they are unable to motivate the broader population of Australia to work, so they have to burden the mining industry with 40% tax, when Google pays just 0.5% of its income in tax. Why? Its going for the 'cheap shots'. Google can more easily shift its operations abroad than miners can move their mines abroad. Its pure extortion of those who are defenseless from the arbitrary power of government.
Arguments comparing tax expropriation to questions of regulation have no validity, and highlight the bias of this 'red-card' bureaucrat. He was an advisor to Clinton for heavens sake.
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Author
Andrew Sheldon

Thursday, July 22, 2010

Andrew Forrest rejoins Resource Rent tax opposition

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I am pleased to see that Andrew Forrest has either rejoined or clarified his position with respect to the Resource Rent Tax, however I am suspicious of his support because he has sought arbitrary clarification of his position at the expense of principles. On the one side I understand that he is trying to advance his shareholders interests (i.e. shareholders in Fortescue Metals), but on the other hand, his shareholders are likely to have broader interests. His customers for iron ore also have broader interests. They also want to see all these smaller, less advanced iron ore projects developed, as well as coal projects, since iron ore customers also buy coal.
So herein lies my problem with Andrew Forrest's real position. He and the government are really the ones who solely benefit from his little backyard deal. He has given the government a 'card' to sell in this election, that they were able to reach a deal with the 3 largest miners. My problem with this is that Forrest has court and received favour from the government, and as a result of those actions, some iron ore projects in Australia could face excessively high taxes, whilst he is quarantined from them. This is therefore a form of protectionism. It has established a 'tax barrier to entry' in the market, and it will result in him having the favoured position of rolling out further iron ore production capacity at the expense of others.
Really I would like to see Andrew Forrest repudiate his agreement with the government prior to this election, as well as support the efforts of the Association of Mining and Exploration Companies (AMEC) to disparage the unfairness of this tax. The issues which should be raised in this media campaign are:
1. The desirability of government vs private spending
2. The arbitrary expansion of govt power
3. The arbitrary expropriation of wealth from 'select' shareholders, who need not be even wealthy ones. The smart money might already have left iron ore.
4. The unfairness of the tax - the govt picking winners, Google paying 0.5% tax compared to the mining industry, over 44%.
5. The impact on our credit rating, which will raise interest rates
6. The impact on the economy and jobs
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Author
Andrew Sheldon

Monday, July 19, 2010

Deal by major miners undermines Australia's smaller miners

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The latest sage of the Resource Rent Tax debate sees the government playing favours with the large miners at the expense of the miners. It is a strange situation. Beyond belief. Here I am arguing principles of justice or political rights with an industry which divides itself into the "haves" and the "have-nots". The Minerals Council of Australia (MCA) represents the big end of town. They fund the bulk of the organisation I guess, and account for the greater number of directors for the organisation, so they essentially control its debate. This has resulted in them 'selling out' smaller mining interests. Democracy is wonderful isn't it.
This has prompted small miners to establish their own body - The Association of Mineral & Exploration Companies (AMEC). This body tends to represent companies capitalised anywhere between $5 million and $500 million dollars, depending on how large and advanced their project is. There are so many of them, that they are not without influence. But they are going to have to get their TV adverts organised because there is just 3 more weeks left. No radio, TV or newspaper advertisements are allowed in the closing week.
They have a legitimate complaint - the government has essentially undermined their wealth. i.e. the government has ripped the profit upside from shareholders for its own use. The government is not even a good spender, so why would anyone want them. People think they will benefit, but governments don't create wealth, and neither do many of the recipients of the money.
The problem of course is that the Liberals are looking so bad with Tony Abbot. The guy is ranking at just 20% for preferred PM, compared to 55% for Labor's Gillard. I think a lot of people are thinking its too early for another Liberal leadership, and they will be thinking Gillard hasn't really had a chance. Women will be thinking the party needs a women for a 'good spring clean'. I've got a better alternative....show your utter contempt for the constitution by not voting at all. It is all rhetoric to legitimatise extortion... in this case from small miners for the sake of Labor interests.
The deal done between Labor and the majors is of course good for the majors. The government has succeeded in dividing the industry. Fortescue, BHP and Rio Tinto get a special deal. You might ask why? Well, some years ago BHP was caught disbersing bribes for the sake of some Iraqi wheat deal. Is there corruption involved here? Who knows? But these people have no moral standing when they do deals at the expense of industry, at the expense of competition. These three companies have sought from the government special conditions, and the government has given it to them, to split the mining industry. The government will sell this as a 'compromise'. Its not - its a betrayal (by the miners) - its extortion (by the government) - its fascism. Its about time the public drew a line and stood for principles or otherwise accept that they caused fascism to develop. Voting for Liberal will not help. Don't vote or vote for smaller government. Libertarianism all the way! Throwing darts is your next best option. Preferably at the government and hard!
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Author
Andrew Sheldon

Friday, July 2, 2010

Andrew Forrest...the investor's friend

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An article in the Sydney Morning Herald provides a clue to how democracy works. If you are poor and don't matter, you attempt to contact your representative and hope they can help you. Unless they are helping themselves to your wealth, they can be accommodating. The system is flawed because its arbitrary. Its arbitrary because the government has to justify expropriating wealth. Common law does not allow stealing, but statutory law does. That's right....logic will support the adoption of taxation. You need political extortion or coercion to achieve that. The parliament and 'representative democracy' were merely concepts conjured to legitimatise expropriation or stealing. There is no justification for it. If you find any pretence of one, let me know, and I will repudiate it. Really folks! There is no argument. Attempt to offer one, and I will repudiate it.
People don't normally take such issues to the High Court. Maybe Andrew Forrest of Fortescue Metals will be the first. I hope he can seize upon the right arguments. This is where I fear his legal counsel will be the problem. They will not have any idea as well how to fight this battle. One of his biggest problems is a conflict of interest within the judiciary. The problem is they are appointed/selected by government, and they are paid by government, on the same basis as a bureaucrat. They are safe people by nature; generally not open to challenging a tradition of expropriation. The problem is it comes down to the spectre of a flawed philosophy of law which is based on arbitrary interpretation rather than any coherency test of conceptual validity. I would love to see Forrest test the system. I am glad there are still a few billlionaires left in the world who can afford to enter the justice system without much to lose.
That's right...we have been a culture of perpetrators and victims since well before the Magna Carta (12th century). The creation of parliaments was just a process for 'modernising expropriation'.
We must understand that Andrew Forrest is the embodiment of a asset owner. The guys at BHP and Rio Tinto are 'asset managers', i.e. CEOs with no equity in the business. They have no significant interest in the outcome. So what does it matter what they think about this tax? Nothing. Andrew Forrest is your friend because he, like you, is an asset owner. The great news is that he has more to lose than you, so he stands ready to take this 'Resource Rent Tax' issue to the High Court if necessary. But its not enough to test matters in the High Court because our legal system is flawed. It would be helpful if Australians differentiated 'asset owners' from 'asset managers'. Andrew Forrest is a fellow investor like you or I. The CEOs of Rio Tinto and BHP are really politicians or 'middlemen' only interested in taking their cut. If they can convince the board that they have no control over this issue, then they have their options incentive adjusted, and they might even come out ahead. Meanwhile, it is shareholders who suffer.
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Author
Andrew Sheldon

Henry? The solution to Australia's problems.

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I would suggest the Resource Rent Tax (RRT) is far from dead. It will merely be presented in another form. Why? It was always a game of perceptions. Consider that Ken Henry retains his job for introducing such a stupid 'fascist' tax that wiped the wealth of many Australians who could not afford to lose it, and then they restore the status quo.
Julia Gillard was reluctant to fire Ken Henry as federal Treasury secretary in the tradition of 'all for one (bad case), and one for all'. This government-inspired 'taxation crisis'....which comes after a government-inspired financial crisis. No...the banks were not to blame. They were no more capricious than the governments system of arbitrary statutory law allowed. Listen to Gillard's defense of Henry:
"Although Dr Henry’s review of taxation had spawned the troublesome resource super-profits tax his work had to be put into perspective".
"Dr Henry was one of the people who had ensured Australia kept afloat during the financial crisis".
That is funny because Labor's solution for the financial crisis was to throw taxpayers money at more final consumption. After all who would invest in a crisis, other than in gold and debt collectors. More importantly Henry was part of a government that failed to anticipate a financial crisis which had really been spawned about a decade earlier. It was government 'slight of hand' which allowed it to go on for so long, i.e. Tax cuts, first home grants. The Australian government was not the main player, it was merely a loyal deputy who facilitated it. The Liberals are also implicated. Perhaps they are more guilty because they are supposed to embody freedom. Well I once read that on their website. Chuckle :) She continues:
"Leaders from other developed countries were thinking how nice it would be to halve their budget deficits by 2013". ‘‘We’ll be in surplus".
This indeed strikes me as a paradox. On the one hand Gillard is taxing the mining industry and applying an arbitrary tax, and undermining business investment. Then in the next instance, she is in a sense proclaiming the virtues of mining exports and mining-related business investment. These two virtues are why the Australian economy is in such a strong position. The Liberal & Labor government's indifference to the Australian financial crisis was the reason why domestic demand is so weak. So both parties ought to be banned from politicking for 10 years. Oh, we can't do that. So maybe we ought to have constitutional reform. Except unlike the flawed system developed in 1901, and the flawed Republic referendum a few years ago, maybe the major parties ought to be precluded from participating from that. Better still, let them participate, but make reason the standard of value, as opposed to some useless democratic principle. The majority is always wrong. Critical thinkers be praised! No rebuked.
"The budget was the government’s projections for revenue and expenditure".
‘‘Growth forecasts were based on sound Treasury advice".
The problem with Treasury forecasts is that they depend upon the unreliable forecasts of the Department of Primary Industries....a government instrument who are not terribly reliable. The budget forward estimates are based on revenue from a resource rent tax or "resource super profits tax", which the government plans to impose on mining companies from 2012. So the solution to public sector incompetence, whether it is government policy, government forecasting or maladministration, is to expropriate from the only sector of the economy which is strong, and destroy our sovereign risk rating across every sector. I am expecting Gillard to say at some point: "You cannot make an omelette without breaking a few eggs". This is the disregard of rights which 'is fascism'. Fears of financial crisis make it all plausible to an unthinking Australia.
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Author
Andrew Sheldon

Wednesday, June 23, 2010

Rudd is gone! Long live the Queen.

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Unsurprisingly Kevin Rudd has been discarded as PM of Australia, and judging by the profile of Julia Gillard, this will result in a back down on the Resource Rent Tax. If you are expecting a re-adoption of the Emissions Trading Scheme, I would not expect that either. Both were bad policy, and they will be dumped. Emissions count-down to 2013? That is just an interim number...both policies are dust.
But let's earn more about Julia Gillard....I've been living overseas, so I know very little about her. She comes across as a harsh high school disciplinarian teacher at first glance. A harsh face, but let's look at her psychology in more depth.
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Author
Andrew Sheldon

Tuesday, June 22, 2010

Is the media biased on the Resource Rent Tax issue?

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Perhaps Kevin Rudd has complained to the media companies that he is not getting enough fair play for his new tax. Maybe a bad tax was never supposed to have been heralded as the start of a new age. Phillip Wen from the Sydney Morning Herald has come out in defense of Kevin Rudd. so let us examine his arguments. Is the media biased in favour of miners? Rudd? Well, I would suggest to you that its hard to be on Rudd's side when you introduce such a sudden, arbitrary, discriminatory tax as the Resource Rent Tax. It is also poorly conceived. But let's challenge the arguments made in this article.

1. Xstrata has exaggerated the impact the tax will have on its operations, with talk of job losses and cancelled projects.
The reality is that a mining company makes money by assessing the feasibility of the project. When a government moves the goal posts in the middle of a game (i.e. After a miner has spent the money, or after a shareholder has bought stock upon certain assumptions), ought they expect the government to protect their rights rather than breach them? Is there a positive side to fascism? Only a deluded moral relativist would argue yes.

2. Xstrata was unbalanced in its disclosure of employee numbers when it closed the Windimurra mine in WA. i.e. It did not disclose the numbers for Windimurra, but not it is disclosing the numbers for its new mine.
I would argue that the mining company is obliged to act in the interests of its shareholders, and to do so in accordance with the law. It was a sad fate for the Windimurra workers. It was a strategic move by Xstrata to buy the Windimurra mine and then close it to support its other mine in Africa (I think?). This is business. If anyone is opposed to that, then an argument needs to be made to change the law. Hopefully it will be a logical argument, unlike the argument made by Rudd....which is based on gross opportunism and extortion. Clearly it is in the interests of Xstrata to re-examine the economics of a project when a government changes the rules. Even if they are bluffing, they are reasonable to use all arguments to discredit the government. It is my opinion that the mining industry is using concrete, pragmatic argument rather than ethical ones because they think that will have greater traction with the voters. I disagree, and I think the strategy can backfire because its money in their pocket. They ought to remember that after Rudd gives them a "super-kiss" he is probably going to give them a "Ruddy tax kick in the balls". That's right...Rudd has ruled out another arbitrary tax on other specific industries....but what's to stop another government, or him taxing all super funds...after everyone has placed all their savings in super...this is what happens with arbitrary rules....you don't know where you stand.
I would however argue that Xstrata did not treat Windimurra shareholders badly as "minority interests", but its a cloudy area of law. I challenged this issue at the time. Having acquired Windimurra, the company placed the project on hold. In fairness, it would have pursued the project if there was a great deal of money in it. Strategists could have seen this unfold. It was a good decision for Xstrata shareholders.

3. The Minerals Council of Australia is spending a reported $100 million on an advertising blitz against the tax.
What else can a minority interest group do other than to engage in a media campaign. Rudd is offering a 'welfare-like' carrot to voters in the form of a "super-kiss". It will take a well-funded campaign to overcome the appeal of this unethical tax upon miners and shareholders. Sadly, the nature of our political system provides a poor basis for reconciling political arguments.

4. The notion that the mining industry has used these tactics before to undermine the government's proposed emissions trading scheme, saying it would severely damage the coal mining industry, leading to big projects shutting down.
Quite rightly. The tax would have destroyed the industry. It would have placed the fate in the hands of unproven technology and subjected them to very high capital cost burdens to make the technology green. The biggest problem the mining industry has is the unproven nature of the 'anthropogenic global warming'. The most recent evidence supports the idea that variations in sunspot activity is the cause. There is good correlation between these solar flares and climate change. Satellites launched in 2006 will offer greater certainty in the next few years. The problem is that the 'liberal' media needs to defend its dire media statements about global warming. Their treatment of this issue highlights their lack of objectivity and their lack of scientific and critical thinking skills.

5. Research conducted by the Australian Conservation Foundation and the Australian Climate Justice Program last year found six companies - including Xstrata, Rio Tinto and Woodside Petroleum - made public statements on emissions trading that were not reflected in formal announcements to the stock exchange.
"The regulator did not pursue the findings, saying the companies made their statements at senate hearings, and were therefore political statements made with parliamentary privilege and not made in the course of trade and commerce".
Not only that, but from my experience submitting documents to the parliament, you are not supposed to publicly disclose the info. Why was this argument made? To make it look like the reporter had a story?

6. Xstrata's biggest shareholder is the Swiss commodities supplier Glencore, one of the world's largest privately held companies, infamous for its colourful past. Its founder Marc Rich, was cited in a 2004 CIA report for paying illegal kickbacks to obtain oil from Saddam Hussein's Iraq regime, in breach of United Nations sanctions.
In the interests of fair disclosure...just look at the track record of US foreign policy over the last century and ask yourself whether that is a fair critique. The reality is that companies have a far better track record than governments, which is weird because governments make the rules. Which can be difficult to interpret because, as we know, they are so arbitrary.
It ought also be mentioned that BHP and the Australian Wool Commission were caught up in the same type of scandal....but why would you smear all mining companies for a breach of US foreign policy. Is that the best this 'liberal' journalist can do?

7. The Construction Forestry Mining Energy Union is for the tax so suggests Xstrata is exaggerating claims.
Yep. I'd go to the mining industry for a balanced perspective on mining company ethics. The union movement were of course the extortion experts of the last century, so they love miners. Anyone remember the wharfies dispute in Wollongong.

8. Final point....the journalist concedes "But the concerns in the mining industry are real. It is not in debate that successful miners will take a hit to their profits".
Ask yourself what that does to investors. And the lost profits will be higher as prices rise. All those future 'opportunity losses' will be wiped off the value of mining projects and mining companies today. Is that share to shareholders in mining companies? Shareholders do not invest to lose.

9. Xstrata would favour overseas projects if the tax was implemented. ''Someone like Xstrata.
There is no question that this will happen. There will of course be some appeal to Australia because the infrastructure is already there and its close to Asia. Though there is iron ore in Asia, e.g. Indonesia, PNG, Bangladesh. Some of these countries were believed to offer greater sovereign risk than Australia, however Kevin Rudd has changed that with his arbitrary tax. In fact, it will be interesting to see if Rudd leads a resurgence of fascism around the world. Other governments could follow suit as he has given arbitrary 'fascist' taxation his 'Western government' approval. I don't even think that Obama could get away with that.

10. "Tony Maher says that as with the lobbying against the emissions trading scheme, miners have to be kept accountable for the claims they make. ''It was corporate bullying then; it's corporate bullying now.'' "
Tony is a union man...so its interesting that a journalist would quote him on a point of ethics about bullying or extortion. Geez, hopeless unbalanced media.

Congratulations Philip Wen, you have just won yourself a citation from the Australian Broadcasting Commission....my complaint is currently being processed. Rest assured, based on previous experience, they come from your side of the political fence. Interesting arguments...pity your smear of Xstrata has nothing to do with 'ethical issues' involved. You seem to share the pragmatic concerns of miners....I wish someone would get to the ethics involved...maybe some of the regulators people studied some ethics. My guess is no.
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Author
Andrew Sheldon

Who is affected by Rudd's tax

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I think Kevin Rudd needs to get a better sense for who is affected by his Resource Rent Tax. It is not just a case of certain people carrying an unfair burden, but the arbitrariness of the action. Ought the cost of any administration be shared across the taxpayers? Why is one industry targeted?
Ought we have greater empathy for those less fortunate than us? Ought we care about justice? On this occasion there just happens to be some billionaires affected by Rudd's new tax. Some people actually trust their whole retirement savings in mining companies because commodities are like money. i.e. When the US government debases 'paper' money, tangible commodities rise in price. So mining companies are a great way to hang on to your wealth. This is particularly the case for gold, silver and miners of other precious metals.
This tax actually attacks the 'smart money' who know how to invest. So what hope is there for anyone from 'arbitrary' government if they make decisions like this, which would breach the spirit of the Senate, if that body actually worked in protecting the rights of the minorities.
Perhaps Rudd is gaining some confidence because of the strong iron ore and coal prices. The problem is that they are the Chinese-linked commodities which are vulnerable to the Chinese economy, and in the short term, also vulnerable to a stronger AUD. We have to understand that commodity prices in real terms are falling because of the debasement of currencies around the world.
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Author
Andrew Sheldon

Monday, June 21, 2010

Kevin Rudd has no empathy for taxpayers

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One of Australia's richest men has died in a plane crash a few days ago. Ken Talbot was a working class guy who turned bought some pubs into a fortune. By far his greatest legacy was the development of numerous coal mines in Queensland. Until recently he was the major shareholder and CEO of Macarthur Coal. He had amassed a billion fortune from developing coal mines in Queensland. He died in a light plane crash in Cameroon, West Africa.

He was also was in court in relation to kickbacks paid to a Queensland minister. Hardly surprised. Government extortion at a state level as well. Practical people like Talbot will pay in order to do what they love doing. They carry that burden. It gets to a point though where every one has to stop, and to be vigilant. The crap we accept from governments needs to stop.

A successful Australian dies and Kevin Rudd is conspicuously silent. Why? Well its clear. How much empathy can Rudd have for a guy (or his family) when you are busy conjuring up new taxes to impose on people to extort their wealth. Not much! He would look like an utter hypocrite if he extended his condolences wouldn't he?
He avoided that. Foreign Affairs Minister Stephen Smith 'expressed' the political rhetoric. It was and always will be about the money. Government as currently conceived is cynically about money. It is not about protecting people. It is about perpetrators (govt interests) and victims (any low-flying targets). No pun intended. Google is safe for now! At the expense of small business denied access to Google Checkout.
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Author
Andrew Sheldon

Rudd selective with the facts

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Kevin Rudd is keen for good press releases. His latest opportunity came with the signing of a number of iron ore mining agreements. Rudd used the opportunity to highlight the fact that the mining tax had not impacted the mining industry.
"Australia and China signed more than $8,8-billion of commercial and mining deals on Monday as a senior Chinese leader urged closer trade ties, in a sign that Australia's mining tax has not deterred investment". [Mining Weekly]
The problem with this interpretation is that China needs iron ore, and in the short term it has to come from Australia, and there is no question that a great deal of it will come from Australia regardless of any imposts Rudd imposes. The problem is that Rudd is encouraging iron ore investments in Indonesia, PNG, maybe even New Zealand (despite its remoteness from China) instead of Australia.
Another problem is that the $8.8 billion in investment, is all oil/gas and iron ore projects, where Australia has a strategic advantage because of tight supplies or location advantage. Basically, this is the problem with this tax. It says that if you identify an opportunity, and the government has the capacity to extort some concession from you, it will do that. It will 'arbitrarily' tax you UNLIKE the rest of Australian industry. Meanwhile Google is paying just 0.1% income tax in Australia because the Australian government has no power to extort Google, because unlike mining, Google has the flexibility to move its operations offshore.
I would also suggest to you that small business in Australia are being denied Google Checkout services in Australia because the Australian government wants to tax Australians through Google Checkout more than it wants to encourage Australian small business. More 'authoritarian' extortion. Fair tax you think? It was always about the money
No tax is fair by definition. Any charge which is involuntarily or does not relate to the value of services rendered is 'arbitrary' taxation, and that is slavery.
Retain some sympathy for miners and investors who have seen wealth destroyed in sectors outside iron ore as well, i.e. coal seam methane, gold, copper, lead, zinc, etc. These commodities entail little in the way of strategic advantage. Investors in mining services are in limbo because they do not know the implications of the tax.
Slowly we slip into 'arbitrary' fascism and unthinking, unprincipled people say nothing. Where will it end. It always ends with killing. First it will be political activists disappearing. Don't expect any international interest, as the same game is occurring in all countries around the world. This is becoming normal. It will end in civil war. The government will make a broader imposition in terms of its implications, and you will think 'enough is enough'. By then you will think where did it start. At what point did I allow my principles to slip away.
Frankly, I would prefer to have some empathy for the rights and interests of people, because I don't want to benefit from parasitism like Kevin Rudd. I will probably benefit from Rudd's actions since I have shares in a PNG iron ore company (MGK.ASX), however its not the point. One has to make a distinction between one's financial interests and one's principles, which ought to relate to human nature, not arbitrary ideas bounced around in Rudd's head, or even parliament, which is about as rational as Rudd. Morality is not a numbers game. The concept of a Senate was never a workable solution if there was no measure to ensure reason was the standard of value.
There is a moral issue here. Kevin STRUDD is a parasite with the most deprave values. Don't wait until the next election to tell him so. Australia cannot wait. Every day this tax is under consideration is another day of lost wealth for Australians, as the stock market slowly grasps the impact of the tax.
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Author
Andrew Sheldon

Saturday, June 19, 2010

Governments ought not be quasi-equity partners

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One of the more unsavory elements of Kevin Rudd's Resource Rent Tax is the idea that government will end up with an 'quasi-equity' stake in the mining industry. i.e. The government will bare a financial benefit, but also an obligation. If this fascist conception does not scare you, consider some implications and examples.
1. Government is a public trust, and it assumes money powers without responsibility. Taxpayers will ultimately pay for any mistakes. Governments are notoriously bad at picking winners. More problematic is that this is not a 'stake' or commitment that the government can honour without screwing taxpayers (i.e. slaves to a pretense of voter representation) or once again undermining the sovereign risk of Australia. Simply the proposal by the government to expropriate wealth from miners has discredited the Australian government, and reduced our credit rating. If the government takes the next step and executes it will be worse. If you protect forward 10 years when metal prices go backwards, and the government is dealing with obligations it has assumed under its new 'tax regime', then you can expect it to dishonour the tax AGAIN.
2. Governments have a notoriously bad record of picking winners. Being a mining analyst, I see a great many examples. Collectivism is always the cause. Consider the coal industry in the 1970s. Coal prices were expected to go to $100/tonne. The Colombian government nationalised the company Carbocol S.A. They built a very expensive rail system and port to export15Mtpa of coal. The project was a monumental white elephant, which played a major role in undermining the future administration of the government. Coal prices went the other way, reaching a low of $20/tonne, and they stayed low for over 10 years.
Another example comes from Eastern Europe. Vulcan Resources was doing some exploration work there in the early 2000s. A Soviet geological team developed 14kms of underground development and never produced any gold. Why because it was a state-funded enterprise. This later example is already evident in Australia because the Australian government does not do the basic things well - like regulation of companies.
Regulation in the form of justice (as opposed to market distortion) is the proper function of government. The government ought to be making sure companies are accurately reporting and that CEOs pay consequences for misleading the market. These deceptive practices ought to be punitively dealt with, but ASIC doesn't because it 'does not have the resources'. Analysts are in the best position to report companies doing the wrong thing.
Several examples come to mind:
a. Gleneagle Mining - Shareholders were mislead as to the financial viability of their mine.
b. Matrix Metals - Shareholders were mislead as to the true mining costs, and were even lead to expect a 60% increase in output.
c. Bendigo Mining - Shareholders were fed a rationalised grade prediction model in order to 'keep the dream alive'. The project received hundreds of millions to find gold that will probably not be mined for years.
The mining industry knows these mining projects are duds. They are talked about over beers in the pubs around the country. The information however is not communicated to government. If it was the government would not act, because government wants to 'keep the delusion alive'. Miners know because they closely scrutinise many projects before they take equity. The government in contrast intends to take equity in all projects.

Imagine how frequent these types of deceptive schemes will arise if government is a co-partner. It is not the government's money, so you can be sure it will happen a great deal. I can picture Kevin Rudd with one hand on the wheel of a 50-tonne truck, and the other breaking a bottle of champagne to officially open such mines. It will of course looking great. But such projects will end up as white elephants.
What we have learned from the 1960s is that Japan was able to create a lot of supply by seed funding mines in Australia, Canada and elsewhere. We can expect the same from Chinese enterprises, whether the Chinese state enterprises or steelmills. The Australian government ought not to be carrying the risk. There are factors which are not even on their radar screen....like ice ages, and other natural disasters. Natural climate variability...never mind the myth of anthropogenic climate change. Price predictability is notoriously difficult beyond a few years. Add to the fact that most price levels in the current market are exaggerated by government intervention in the market. For example, copper prices rose from 68c in the late 1990s to $4.00/lb in 2008 primarily because of government monetary stimulus in the USA. The same trend for other metal prices. Who knows what will happen when government powers are restrained (as they should be) in future years.
It will ultimately be the taxpayer who pays. I personally think Kevin Rudd developed this policy after going to China. I suggest Kevin Rudd is impressed by China. Being a career bureaucrat, he knows nothing about economics and finance. He looks at China...all the development and the 8-12% growth and he thinks this is what authoritarian government can achieve. In fact, China is growing at these rapid rates, not because of public administration, but in spite of it. The real reasons for Chinese ascension is:
1. Dual economy - Foreign enterprise is offered far better terms than local business. This is why a lot of Chinese domestic investment is channelled through HK and Taiwan, to get state concessions. Foreign direct investment is overstated.
2. Market disequilibrium - Markets are not in equilibrium. The sudden opening up of China in the 1990s allowed the mass migration of millions of Chinese farmers to the city for factory jobs. The mass over-supply of workers for factories was good for foreign investors.
3. Strategic market appeal - China is a huge market with very competitive costs. It was essentially a USA in the making, but without the values of the USA, at least not explicitly, though maybe it will ascend to a level where its respect for individualism in 50 years exceeds the USA. It will probably come only through revolution, with middle class Chinese forced to fight restless and envious rural farmers not getting the same benefits. Might this trend undermine Rudd's forecast for mining or metal prices?
4. Lack of regulation - China is the wild west. There is regulation, but its not as developed or enforced as the West, so it is thus less restrictive. This is a boon for honest and dishonest business people alike. Maybe this is why Chinese people prefer to deal with foreigners. Higher prices and more honest business practices. We have this idea that China is an authoritarian state, but effectively Rudd is more authoritarian than the Chinese premier because he has the 'force of law', whereas in China the level of compliance is far looser, and open to bribes.
Rudd presents a greater threat to liberty than Chairman Mao because he professes to be a champion of freedom. His conception is a distortion...which ought to be apparent after reading this blog and my politics blog. At least Chairman Mao was a consistent practitioner of his philosophy of self-denunciation.....Rudd is a pathetic, inconsistent, pale hypocrite who waited until he had power before he unleashed his true character...or lack of it.
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Author
Andrew Sheldon

Tuesday, June 15, 2010

Dr Ross Garnaut's views on the Resource Rent Tax

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Judging by the paper released by Professor Ross Garnaut the Rudd government did not consult widely before it adopted its proposal for a Resource Rent Tax on all minerals. Garnaut makes the argument that:

"If the Resource Super Profits Tax had been announced on May 2, 1990, the community would have been able to put it in that context". (p.1)
The reality is that the community should not be deciding taxation policy because it established an uncritical basis for policy development. These are intellectual issues and they should be determined by intellectuals. Reason ought to be the standard, as opposed to the government imposing its will upon a minority (i.e. miners), using the carrot of some concession for retirees. The broader interest of the 'common good' does not legitimatise taxes on miners. Taxes ought to be fair.... meaning they ought to apply to users of the services finances by the taxes. The role of the Senate was to protect the interests of minorities. The concept has been quashed by amalgamation of the parliament into a two-party duopoly.

"The Great Crash raises fundamental questions about the capacity of contemporary Governments of democratic capitalist countries to implement policies in the public interest that are contested by powerful private interests". (p.2)
Interesting in raising the issue of the financial crisis in the USA and Europe, he is totally obtuse on the cause of the financial troubles in the USA. Does he (like many) attribute it to bankers, or does he acknowledge the role of governments in enabling the bankers; most particularly the easy monetary policy of the Federal Reserve. Yet he seems to attribute the problem to meddling private interests. Are not politicians supposed to be the agents of morality given that they have a monopoly on the use of force. A capacity that ought to preclude the 'initiation' of force.

"The governments of democratic capitalist economies “face a constant war against almost unlimited financial demands on the state by citizens and lobby groups...”.
This strikes me as a total misdirection on his part since it was the government who initiated the tax on mining without any consultation. Not that consultation would help because ultimately coercion is unethical whether a thief gives you a warning or not.

"The essential reason why Australia is faring better is that we went through a couple of decades in which our policy-making processes were opened up for a while to influence from an informed and independent centre of the polity. This allowed the building of support for reform in the national interest, against the private interests that received benefits from the unreformed system".
Nonsense, we are doing better because the Liberals curtailed government spending. The momentum of the economy was buoyed by the minerals boom from 2001-2008. Gaunaut leaves no ambiguity about where he stands. He is a complete collectivist, as one would expect of a bureaucrat and academic. He states:

"I am saying that the Australian Government has taken a position on the basis of advice of people of knowledge and standing, that asserts some hard propositions about the national interest, at the expense of some private interests that exercise considerable influence in our polity". (p.3)
The problem with this is that the public interest ought to be considered in a framework of rights. If society gains at the expense of minority elements in the community, then we do irreparable harm to the interests of all people, both in terms of their economic interest and their psyche. I would suggest to you that publicly funded bureaucrats have no interest in such issues because a concept of rights is the antithesis of their publicly-funded existence. So for Garnaut any action against minorities is justified, even if it breaches the interests of certain interests. The problem of course is that at some point in our lives we all constitute a minority, whether its in school, the corporate work, as parents, taxpayers or foreigners abroad. Are we not inclined to expect a more intelligible, principled framework, so we know where we stand. I think it matters little whether we have 1 minutes notice or 1 year. The majority or those who represent it, ought to have no pecuniary interest in the property of others, unless there is a question of protection of counter party rights...lest we become a nation of perpetrators and victims, always picking off the weakest minority group who has no natural advantage. I have already mentioned that Google pays just 0.1% income tax in Australia, by shifting its revenues offshore to Ireland. Garnaut states:
"Australia is a country that must make its way on its own, outside the monetary and trade and
economic blocs of the North Atlantic, in a democratic capitalist world in crisis". (p.3)
This is an increasingly unrealistic expectation when you are talking about romantic, commercial and political relationships which are increasingly global. What is required is not political isolation, but engagement on the basis of some intelligible standard, i.e. Where reason is the standard of value....where reasons rather than 'numbers' or kickbacks are the standard of value. The world is in crisis precisely because of Garnaut's style of moral relativism.

"What is important is that this time, on this subject, we demonstrate that we can still discuss policy proposals with clarity and rigour, listening to interested parties, with their words having influence according to their content, and not according to the cruder instruments of political influence that accompany them".
This quote highlights Garnaut's economic ignorance. How can we discuss policies based on coercion without recognising the influence of arbitrary policy on private interests. Investors have already lost money. The present market capitalisation of a mining stock is a function of its future (taxable) earnings. Any question of increasing those taxes is going to lead to a destruction of wealth. Why should any politician or bureaucrat have that power? This is a particular concern when they seemingly are indifferent to its impact. He appears completely oblivious to the sovereign risk issue as well. Clearly he sees any private interest as antagonistic to his 'common good', whilst any pursuit of the common good is noble irrespective of its impact or underlying motivations.
He then makes a comparison between the removal of subsidies from the car industry under the Button Car Plan with the current predicament. Clearly he misses the principle involved; that is that industry in general ought not to support an unsustainable and dependent industry. Now, the mining industry ought not to be supporting retirees. If we want to raise super provisions, we need only to reduce the market distortions by government in Australia (i.e. First home grants scheme) and abroad (US Fed monetary policy) in order to reduce their intervention in the economy. Any investor in the market takes a huge gamble these days trying to read the arbitrary whim of government and central banks. Supply & demand no longer drives the economy. The prospect of the Fed flooding or sterilising money supply is the sole distortive measure.

"An accepted ideal in any system of taxation is that it should as far as possible be “neutral”. The ideal of neutrality is that, without good reason, the tax should not alter decisions on investment, production or trade". (p.4)
This would have been a nice ideal if it was established before any tax was even adopted. We might ask the legitimacy of any tax if this proposition is to hold true. The reality is that - if you accept arbitrary taxation - it is a nonsensical proposition because change intent on achieving a "neutral outcome" could only result in a more complicated tax system. Unsurprisingly, this is exactly what we have. Its great for the bureaucrats. The practical implication however is that taxation is readily loopholed by corporations trying to reduce tax, which precipitates amendments to tax legislation, which is intent upon correcting old mistakes, but it only succeeds in creating more flaws in an already bad system. Of course capitalists are blamed, but no one reflects on the immorality of the system.
He then launches into a defense of his proposition by considering the economic rent. The problem with such economic analysis is that it is divorced from context. Why is economists so bad at predicting market behaviour? Its because economists don't understand human behaviour, so they look at some aspect of markets, and drop certain pertinent considerations. Academia is not served by their isolation from the real world. The idea of collecting a salary from the government irrespective of the 'grounding' of your research is a solid basis for economic rationalism. We see the same in all the humanities. We would not see it in medicine or engineering. So expect academics to develop animal rights which are based on some conception of utilitarianism and 'empathetic (human-like) animals', climate change models based on uncritical 'tragic' computer modelling that fails to consider the impact of the sun. Academics were not passive responders to these issues, they actually drove these issues with the help of politicians and the media.
He argues that economic rent as revenue has a lower economic costs than other forms of taxation. That might be true from a relativist perspective, however its hard to accept if its part of an arbitrary taxation system which is destined to result in greater levels of taxation. A simple low-percentage transaction tax would be far cheaper. It is however not the issue, since public administration hardly provides much incentive to reduce the administrative cost of taxation. It is simply too easy to increase tax rather than change the system.

He adds that "Many Australians would add that the recovery of mineral rent from the companies to which rights to mine have been allocated for the community represents a move to more equitable distribution of income, in a way that has lower economic costs than other measures to promote distributional equity". (p.6)
This is not a reasonable argument. You cannot leave open the moral question of whether 'common good' questions are legitimate without analysing them. I would argue that:
1. The idea of recovering rent from miners is morally benign if it is small and the tax is known before the mining company commits to a project area, i.e. Exploration title. Any time thereafter is too late because the market will have attached a value to those project interests. Thereafter shareholders suffer an unfair loss from the application of the tax.
2. Where is the logic that says that income redistribution is a desirable quality. Studies of psychology will establish that ethical redistribution models based on coercion are destined to fail because they establish a moral legitimacy to parasitism, or a culture of risk aversion, and entitlement. Economists will not consider those factors.

Garnaut on page 6 discusses the 6 forms of resource rent tax. In so far as there is no moral requirement that such taxes relate to use of resources which government has any claim to, or to the extent that they do not have any relation to any service voluntarily used by a mining company, any such rent is illegitimate, and ought not be levied. Perhaps the most compelling reason for economic rent comes from cost recovery for any work performed by governments. i.e. Geological investigations by the state department of mines. This ought however to be a state tax, and it ought to be based on user pays principles. Any use of mineral rents to fund welfare and government are really schemes to avoid accountability by government.
There is some appeal to the idea of "competitive bidding for a fixed fee for leases", however I would argue that such a policy is fraught with moral relativism since it is probable that governments around the world will align their revenue objectives so that there is a neutral impact on miners, so instead the burden would be carried by consumers of end-products.

"A disadvantage of the Brown Tax (BT) is that it entails the greatest risk to the government". (p.9)
The implication is that the resource rent tax is a burden upon government. There is the prospect that government is taking a 'market or commercial' position, and the implication setting up taxpayers for further claims when governments get it wrong by erroneously forecasting future prices, and thus expected revenues. Another concern is the difficulty of understanding the tax; particularly for foreign investors. Smaller funds will simply avoid Australia because of their lack of resources for understanding the 'unique' Australian market. It could be argued that small funds will outsource funds managers to local fund managers; but others will simply go to familiar markets like the USA and Canada.
This paper needs further consideration with respect to the mechanisms of the tax, however I will stop here, so this post is confined to the ethical considerations.

*IMG source. Wikipedia
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ross_Garnaut
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Author
Andrew Sheldon

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